Overview
- Vox and allied coverage predict the Court will target the Voting Rights Act’s protections against racial gerrymandering, a shift expected to reduce Black representation in heavily Republican states.
- The term is also projected to bring rulings against state bans on conversion therapy, raising First Amendment questions despite broad opposition to the practice from major medical groups.
- Analysts expect the justices to uphold state policies requiring student athletes to compete based on sex assigned at birth, building on the 2025 Skrmetti ruling that allowed bans on minors’ gender-affirming care.
- Vox flags possible moves to loosen campaign finance restrictions, which could permit larger direct contributions to candidates.
- A separate area of uncertainty concerns whether the Court will invalidate President Donald Trump’s tariff program, which analysts say could test doctrines used to block several Biden-era policies.