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5h ago

Vox Climbs Toward 18% as About One Million PP Voters Defect

The surge concentrates among younger voters, prompting PP leaders to sharpen attacks on Pedro Sánchez.

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Carles Puigdemont, expresidente de la Generalitat y eurodiputado, a su llegada este martes 2 de septiembre de 2025 a la Delegación del Gobierno de Cataluña ante la Unión Europea, en Bruselas, para reunirse con el president Salvador Illa. Simon Wohlfahrt / AFP

Overview

  • New surveys from 40dB., CIS and others place Vox around 15–18% nationally, with 40dB. estimating 17.4% and some analyses suggesting it approaches 20%.
  • Microdata indicate roughly 16% of the PP’s 2023 electorate — about one million people — now leans to Vox, with 40dB. estimating about 840,000 from the PP and roughly 250,000 from the PSOE.
  • The gains are strongest among people under 35, including about 40% of men aged 18–34 in recent barometers, alongside notable increases among young women, students and working-age voters.
  • The PP’s vote estimate falls to about 30.7% in the 40dB. barometer as party leaders harden their rhetoric and question the viability of the political center, reflecting internal debate over tone and strategy.
  • Analysts link Vox’s momentum to recent crises and its social media reach, and PP officials warn that continued growth could give Vox leverage in regional governance tests expected in early 2026.