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Voters Blame Trump and GOP for Shutdown as Democrats Build 2026 Polling Edge

A CBO damage estimate with widespread personal disruptions reinforces sour views of Trump’s economic stewardship.

Overview

  • An NBC News poll conducted Oct. 24–28 finds 52% blame President Trump and congressional Republicans for the shutdown versus 42% who fault Democrats, while a record 34% report personal impacts to jobs, services or benefits.
  • Trump’s approval sits in the low 40s with disapproval in the high 50s to 60%, and majorities give him poor marks on the economy, inflation and tariffs across NBC, ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos and Yahoo/YouGov surveys.
  • Democrats lead the generic congressional ballot by 8 points in NBC’s poll (50%–42%), though the ABC/Washington Post/Ipsos survey shows a narrower 46%–44% edge within its margin of error.
  • The Congressional Budget Office estimates the prolonged shutdown could cost the economy about $14 billion, and court action over delayed SNAP benefits has forced the administration to report back to a judge on Monday.
  • Public dissatisfaction remains broad, with roughly two-thirds saying the country is on the wrong track and 57% telling NBC they would vote to replace every member of Congress.