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last mo.

Volaris Trims 2025 Capacity Guidance After $63 Million Q2 Loss Under U.S. Regulatory Threats

Reinstating a 32–33% EBITDA margin forecast shows confidence in second-half demand despite growing DOT scrutiny over bilateral flight rights

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Overview

  • Volaris posted a Q2 net loss of $63.3 million, reversing a $10.5 million profit a year earlier as revenues fell 4.5% and EBITDA declined 26%.
  • The airline cut its full-year ASM growth forecast to about 7%, down from prior targets of 8–9% and an earlier projection near 13%.
  • Volaris reinstated its 2025 EBITDA margin guidance at 32–33%, citing improved second-half demand visibility and ongoing capacity discipline.
  • Shares dropped 1.8% on July 21 after U.S. DOT warnings then climbed 11.5% on July 22 as investors anticipated stronger travel in the latter half of the year.
  • Facing DOT threats to block flight applications and plans to end Aeroméxico-Delta antitrust immunity, the carrier will redeploy underused U.S. capacity to key domestic routes including Cancún, Mexico City, Guadalajara and Monterrey.