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Virginia Favored Over Duke in ACC Title Game With CFP Berth at Stake

Model projections point to the Under, reflecting Virginia’s recent control of this matchup.

Overview

  • Kickoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET Saturday at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte with the game televised on ABC.
  • Books list Virginia around -3.5 to -4 with a total of 57.5 points, establishing the Cavaliers as small favorites.
  • Virginia won the Nov. 15 meeting 34-17 and outgained Duke 540 yards to 255, a performance cited in multiple previews.
  • CBS Sports’ SportsLine model leans Under 57.5 and indicates one side of the spread hits about 60% of the time, while Yahoo/Covers tags Virginia -3.5 as its best bet.
  • Context favors Virginia’s balance, ranking near the top of the ACC in total defense and strong offense, as Duke leans on an explosive attack led by QB Darian Mensah with 3,450 passing yards and 28 touchdowns.