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6h ago

Vikings–Giants Week 16: Markets Back Minnesota as Models Tilt Toward New York

Projection models lean slightly toward a Giants upset, highlighting takeaway chances against a turnover-prone Vikings offense.

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Overview

  • Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium on FOX, with both teams already eliminated from playoff contention.
  • DraftKings lists Minnesota as a 3-point road favorite with a total near 43.5, while SportsLine simulations give New York a 53% win chance and a 23–21 projected score.
  • Vikings rookie J.J. McCarthy has stacked two straight multi-touchdown games and ran for a score in the win over Dallas, yet his efficiency drops markedly under pressure per recent analysis.
  • Minnesota leads the NFL with 27 giveaways, including a league-high 20 interceptions with 11 credited to McCarthy, making ball security and takeaways a key swing factor.
  • The Giants enter on an eight-game skid with both of their wins at home, but their ground game features 18 rushing touchdowns and four 300-plus-yard rushers as rookie Jaxson Dart continues to develop.