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Vikings Projected to Stall at .500 as J.J. McCarthy Steps In

Betting markets at 8.5 wins reflect analysts’ forecast that rookie J.J. McCarthy and a bolstered roster may struggle to match last season’s 14-3 performance.

Overview

  • Minnesota declined to franchise-tag Sam Darnold and named first-round pick J.J. McCarthy its 2025 starter under coach Kevin O’Connell’s three-year development plan.
  • McCarthy, who sat out last year recovering from a torn meniscus, will have to establish rapport with stars Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson.
  • The Vikings addressed key needs by adding depth to their secondary and reinforcing the offensive line through free agency and the draft.
  • Bleacher Report’s Moe Moton leads a consensus that Minnesota will hover around a 9-8 record and could finish last in the strengthened NFC North.
  • MGM’s over/under win total of 8.5 (–150 over, +125 under) underscores the team’s wide variance of possible outcomes in 2025.