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Victoria's Budget Delivers Surplus But Deepens Debt Challenges

The 2025-26 Victorian budget achieves a $600 million operating surplus but relies heavily on borrowing to fund infrastructure, escalating debt and interest costs.

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Overview

  • The Victorian government projects a $600 million operating surplus for 2025-26, its first since before the COVID pandemic.
  • State debt is forecast to rise to $188 billion by 2028 and $194 billion by 2029, with annual interest costs exceeding $10 billion.
  • The budget allocates $11.1 billion in additional health funding over four years, including $9.3 billion for hospital operations and $643 million for nine hospital projects.
  • Education funding commitments were deferred, with $2.4 billion stripped from schools as the government delays meeting the Schooling Resource Standard until after 2028.
  • An upcoming efficiency review led by Helen Silver may cut up to 3,000 public service roles and streamline regulators, aiming to save $500 million over four years.