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Verity Poised to Top Box Office as Digger Tracks for Weak Debut

Box‑office forecasts put the modestly budgeted Colleen Hoover adaptation in position to deliver a theatrical win for Amazon MGM as Warner Bros. faces sharp financial pressure from Tom Cruise’s costly release.

Overview

  • Verity is projected to open the weekend of Oct. 2 at about $30 million to $35 million from roughly 3,510 North American theaters.
  • Digger is forecast to debut near $12 million to $15 million from about 3,300 screens and has drawn broadly negative reviews that have damped early audience interest.
  • Verity’s production cost is reported at about $40 million, while multiple sources say Digger’s budget rose to $160 million–$180 million, a figure Warner Bros. disputes; analysts say a much larger opening would be needed for a big budget film to break even.
  • Studios have different stakes in the weekend: Amazon MGM needs a reliable theatrical hit after recent mixed results, and Warner Bros. is under added scrutiny as its big releases struggle and corporate changes approach.
  • Colleen Hoover adaptations have proven to be low‑cost, high‑return plays on genre fans, with prior entries like It Ends With Us opening to $50 million and going on to large global grosses, a dynamic that helps explain Verity’s strong projection.