Overview
- VanEck’s Q1 2026 outlook, published Jan. 12, highlights clearer visibility on fiscal and monetary policy as a tailwind for risk-taking.
- The firm points to U.S. deficits shrinking as a share of GDP, which it says is helping stabilize longer-term interest rates.
- VanEck contends bitcoin’s four-year pattern “broke in 2025,” prompting a cautious three- to six-month view, though some inside the firm are more constructive.
- Bitcoin has decoupled from equities and gold since an October deleveraging event, weakening traditional correlation-based positioning.
- BTC retested $92,000, and analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts a move to $100,000 within ten days if that level is cleared decisively.