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Vance Says U.S.-Iran Conflict Will Shift Within Months

He cited weakened Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz and a partial recovery in commercial traffic as signs the campaign could move toward diplomacy or renewed U.S. action after the midterms.

Overview

  • Vice President J.D. Vance told reporters that the conflict with Iran is likely to enter a “much different phase” within months and he backed President Trump’s view that the campaign could change after the U.S. midterm elections.
  • Vance said U.S. forces are not conducting aggressive operations at present and described the current posture as limited pressure rather than full-scale offensive action.
  • He pointed to a weakening of Iran’s grip on the Strait of Hormuz and said commercial shipping has recovered to well over half of normal traffic after U.S. efforts to clear mines and secure key lanes.
  • U.S. officials say recent operations have reduced parts of Iran’s missile and drone capabilities while Tehran has continued intermittent attacks on commercial vessels and regional targets, and Washington has maintained sanctions and strikes on Iranian-linked tankers.
  • Vance highlighted his role in a June memorandum of understanding that set a ceasefire framework, and he warned that whether the coming months produce further diplomacy or renewed military action remains uncertain.