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yesterday

Vance Commands GOP Primary as Buttigieg Leads Democrats in 2028 Poll

The survey indicates large undecided blocs in both parties months before 2028 primaries.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at the Emerge 20th Anniversary Gala in San Francisco, California on April 30, 2025.
Vice President J.D. Vance speaking during the 20th annual National Catholic Prayer Breakfast at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center on February 28, 2025 in Washington, DC.
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Overview

  • Vice President J.D. Vance leads the Republican field with 46 percent support, more than triple Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s 12 percent and far ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’s 9 percent.
  • Pete Buttigieg leads Democrats with 16 percent of support, followed by Kamala Harris at 13 percent and Gavin Newsom at 12 percent; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Josh Shapiro each earn 7 percent.
  • Uncertainty remains high with 17 percent of Republicans and 23 percent of Democrats still undecided about their 2028 primary choices.
  • On a generic 2028 presidential ballot, voters are evenly split at 42 percent for each party and 16 percent remain uncommitted.
  • The Emerson College poll surveyed 1,000 registered U.S. voters June 24–25 and carries a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.