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Van Epps Wins Tennessee Special With Single-Digit Margin as Parties Rethink 2026

The single-digit result in a Trump +22 seat is prompting both parties to rethink how they compete in suburbs.

Overview

  • Republican Matt Van Epps defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn by about nine points in Tennessee’s 7th District, which Trump carried by 22 points in 2024.
  • The vote underscored a sharp urban–suburban split, with Behn winning Nashville by 56 points but losing affluent Williamson County by 23.
  • Centrist Democrats say Behn’s progressive profile and past policing comments undercut her in the suburbs and argue for recruiting more moderate nominees in red seats.
  • Republicans leaned on law-and-order attacks during the race, and leaders such as Senate Majority Leader John Thune say the party must sharpen its message before the 2026 midterms.
  • Moderate Democratic groups signal interest in engaging in primaries to shape slates, while GOP lawmakers talk up better selling affordability policies and rallying turnout next year.