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Van Epps Holds Tennessee’s 7th District With 9-Point Special Election Win

The single-digit result in a Trump +22 seat is prompting both parties to reassess their 2026 House strategy.

Overview

  • Trump-backed Republican Matt Van Epps defeated Democrat Aftyn Behn about 54% to 45%, keeping the GOP majority at roughly 220–214.
  • The margin reflects an estimated 13-point shift toward Democrats compared with the district’s 2024 presidential result.
  • Turnout neared 180,000 votes, an unusually high level for a special election and comparable to the district’s 2022 midterm participation.
  • National intervention proved decisive, with Trump telerallies and MAGA Inc. spending alongside multimillion-dollar ad battles from both parties as Behn emphasized affordability.
  • The showing intensified GOP concerns over retirements and the durability of gerrymandered seats, while Democrats debated whether a more moderate nominee could have made further gains in suburban counties.