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Valve Rule Change Triggers Counter-Strike Skins Rout as Market Cap Halves

A quietly expanded trade-up now lets common reds convert into top-tier cosmetics, breaking long-standing scarcity and jolting a still‑unsettled market.

Overview

  • Valve’s update extends Trade Up Contracts to exchange five Covert-quality items, including StatTrak variants, for a knife or gloves from one of the input items’ collections.
  • High-end knives and gloves plunged in price—reports cite drops up to roughly 70%—while lower-value Covert skins spiked as traders bought crafting materials.
  • Market trackers logged a rapid $1.7–$2 billion decline within 24 hours, with estimates diverging and total value later hovering around roughly $3–$4.3 billion after initial troughs.
  • Newly crafted knives and gloves carry a short trading hold of about a week, delaying the full supply impact and leaving prices highly volatile.
  • Community reaction ranged from panic selling to calls for caution, unverified social media claims circulated, and analysts suggested Valve could be steering activity back to Steam’s fee-based marketplace.