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UTEP Study Finds Playoff Officiating Tilted Toward Mahomes-Era Chiefs

Researchers link the postseason pattern to financial pressure during the NFL’s most lucrative window, which the league rejects.

Overview

  • The peer-reviewed analysis, published in Financial Review and led by UTEP assistant professor Spencer Barnes, examined more than 13,000 defensive penalty calls from 2015 to 2023.
  • In playoff games, penalties against Chiefs opponents averaged 2.36 more yards, were 23% more likely to result in first downs for Kansas City, and included 28% more subjective flags such as pass interference and roughing the passer.
  • The reported effect was concentrated in the postseason, whereas regular-season penalties for the Chiefs were less likely than league norms to yield yardage and first downs.
  • Researchers said prior dynasties, including the Tom Brady–Bill Belichick Patriots, did not show comparable postseason advantages in officiating.
  • The findings have renewed fan and media scrutiny of officiating, even as commissioner Roger Goodell has dismissed favoritism claims and the league has not announced any investigation.