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7h ago

UTDT Government Confidence Index Falls to 1.94, Lowest of Milei’s Tenure

Surveyed in mid-September after the ANDIS disclosures, the drop is being read as an electoral warning before the October 26 legislative vote.

El presidente Milei y el ministro Caputo, con la titular del FMI, Kristalina Georgieva.
El Gobierno de Javier Milei, con menos respaldo
Image
Javier Milei, presidente de Argentina, en la Bolsa de Comercio de Buenos Aires. (AP Photo / Natacha Pisarenko)

Overview

  • September’s Índice de Confianza en el Gobierno came in at 1.94, down 8.2% month over month and 10% year over year, marking the first reading below 2 after a two‑month slide from 2.45 in July.
  • All five components fell: honesty of officials (2.44, −3.7%), problem‑solving capacity (2.38, −3.1%), spending efficiency (1.87, −11.2%), overall government evaluation (1.57, −11.5%) and concern for the public interest (1.47, −15.1%).
  • The UTDT index, based on a 1,000‑case Poliarquía survey conducted September 5–15, was the first to capture the ANDIS scandal and followed La Libertad Avanza’s Buenos Aires defeat.
  • Analysts note the series is often used as a short‑term electoral barometer, and the latest reading has triggered concern within the executive ahead of the midterms.
  • Confidence was higher among men (2.12) than women (1.76), reached a peak among 18–29 year‑olds (2.47, +17.1%), and varied by region with the Interior at 2.13, CABA at 1.78 and Greater Buenos Aires at 1.62.