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USVietnam Trade Deal and Robust June Jobs Propel Markets to Record Highs

Investors are balancing trade optimism against inflation concerns with Treasury yields ticking upward ahead of the July 9 reciprocal tariff deadline

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Un opérateur à la Bourse de New York le 23 juin 2025
Un drapeau des Etats-Unis à la Bourse de New York, le 13 juin 2025

Overview

  • President Trump announced a pact eliminating US duties on American exports to Vietnam and imposing at least 20% tariffs on Vietnamese goods, averting harsher reciprocal levies due July 9.
  • The US economy added 147,000 jobs in June and saw unemployment fall to 4.1%, beating the 110,000-job consensus and offsetting earlier ADP-Stanford data showing 33,000 private-sector cuts.
  • Nasdaq and S&P 500 indexes reached intraday record highs on July 3 while the Dow posted modest gains as markets absorbed the trade agreement and solid labor figures.
  • Yields on the US 10-year Treasury climbed above 4.3% as investors weighed potential inflationary impacts of new tariffs alongside growth signals from the jobs report.
  • Attention now turns to the July 9 deadline for tariffs on 54 trading partners and the Federal Reserve’s forthcoming decisions on interest rates