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3h ago

U.S.–Venezuela Standoff Intensifies as Trump Signals Land Strikes and Venezuela Swears In 5,600 Troops

Regional warnings highlight displacement risks with potential for a wider conflict.

The US Navy’s Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group makes its way toward the Caribbean on November 13, 2025, amid a buildup of US military resources in the area.
Venezuelan migrants turn themselves in to the Border Patrol after crossing the Rio Grande in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, on July 20, 2023.
People shop at a market in Caracas on November 29, 2025.
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Overview

  • Brazil’s chief foreign policy adviser, Celso Amorim, called the U.S. closure of Venezuelan airspace an act of war and cautioned that an invasion could spiral into a Vietnam-style conflict.
  • The U.S. has massed a carrier group led by the USS Gerald R. Ford with roughly 16,000 personnel in the western Caribbean and has declared Venezuelan airspace closed.
  • Maritime strikes on alleged drug boats have continued with more than 80 reported deaths, drawing UN and rights-group condemnation and legal questions about authority and evidence.
  • New modeling projects 1.7 million to 3 million additional refugees from even limited internal conflict, with more than 4 million in a protracted scenario, though a former U.S. envoy argues narrowly targeted strikes might have minimal migration impact.
  • Venezuela inducted 5,600 soldiers in Caracas as officials vowed to resist any foreign incursion, while Washington’s FTO listing of the Cartel de los Soles and a $50 million bounty on Nicolás Maduro sharpened the confrontation.