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USDA Payments, Fund Repositioning Set Tone for Ag Markets to Open 2026

Fresh USDA payment rates plus big fund shifts are steering early 2026 commodity moves.

Overview

  • USDA posted Farm Bridge Assistance rates, including cotton at $117.35 per acre, corn at $44.36, soybeans at $30.88, and wheat at $39.35.
  • CFTC data show major positioning changes, with managed money flipping corn to a small net long after a 55,431‑contract swing and CBOT wheat still heavily net short at 91,665 contracts as of December 23.
  • Corn futures are down 2 to 4 cents despite USDA confirming a 132,000 metric ton private sale to South Korea.
  • Soybean futures are easing by about 2 to 3.5 cents in early trade, with 913 deliveries issued against January contracts.
  • Cotton is lower by 25 to 45 points at midday, while live cattle are rallying $3.10 to $3.75 with northern cash at $232 and boxed beef prices higher.