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USC-Michigan Rematch at Sold-Out Coliseum Could Shape Playoff Race

Betting markets lean to USC after a bye, reflecting confidence in its explosive offense versus Michigan’s pressure-first defense.

Overview

  • USC hosts No. 15 Michigan on Saturday, Oct. 11 at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBC at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, which is sold out for the Trojans’ first time this season.
  • Sportsbooks list USC as a slight favorite (around -2.5 and -140 moneyline), and ESPN’s model gives the Trojans roughly a two-thirds win probability.
  • USC returns with one of the nation’s top offenses, averaging 48.4 points per game, as quarterback Jayden Maiava ranks among FBS leaders in passing with receiver Makai Lemon a major target.
  • Michigan leans into a trenches-first plan to disrupt Maiava, with defensive line coach Lou Esposito stressing physicality, pressure and the belief that “toughness travels.”
  • Lincoln Riley praised Michigan’s defensive line depth and brushed off Sherrone Moore’s claim that the sellout is due to Michigan’s draw, with the result widely framed as significant for both teams’ College Football Playoff hopes.