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U.S. Weighs USMCA Split or Exit as Jan. 2 Congress Report Looms

Canada’s ambassador says she expects the pact’s trilateral foundation to hold.

Overview

  • U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said the review could lead to two bilateral deals with Canada and Mexico or a full U.S. withdrawal from the pact.
  • Greer identified tighter rules of origin and critical-minerals provisions as priority areas for any renegotiation.
  • Under U.S. law, the administration must submit a report to Congress by Jan. 2 signaling its intentions ahead of the July 1, 2026 decision point.
  • Canadian officials, including Dominic LeBlanc and Ambassador Kirsten Hillman, expressed confidence that Washington is not preparing to tear up CUSMA.
  • Greer said the administration has fallback legal authorities to continue tariff actions if the Supreme Court curtails IEEPA-based tariffs, as broader tariff disputes with Canada and Mexico persist.