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U.S. Weighs Nvidia H200 Exports to China, Lifting Chip Stocks as Broadcom Maps AI Runway

A 30‑day interagency review now governs whether Nvidia can ship H200s to China.

Overview

  • Reuters reported that the Commerce Department forwarded Nvidia H200 export license applications to the State, Energy and Defense Departments, starting a 30‑day review under export‑control rules.
  • Nvidia rose about 3% on the news, with AMD, Broadcom and Micron also higher, as investors reacted to President Trump’s earlier signal that sales could proceed with a 25% government fee.
  • Bernstein said Nvidia trades at a rare discount versus the semiconductor index and kept an Outperform rating, calling current multiples attractive on a relative and historical basis.
  • Broadcom posted record Q4 revenue of $18.0 billion and forecast about $8.2 billion in AI semiconductor revenue for Q1 2026, backed by roughly $73 billion of AI‑related orders to be delivered over six quarters.
  • Broadcom’s stock pullback followed concern about lower gross margins from a higher mix of full‑rack systems, though J.P. Morgan, Piper Sandler and Morgan Stanley reaffirmed positive stances and raised targets.