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1h ago

U.S. Weighs IRA-Style Hamas Disarmament as Ceasefire Shifts to Phase Two

Israeli officials question a gradual timeline, with core security and governance pillars still unset.

FILE - A memorial site at the spot where Ran Gvili, the last hostage in the Gaza Strip, was killed while fighting Hamas militants, stands in Kibbutz Alumim, Israel, Dec. 4, 2025. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg, File)
FILE - Tents sheltering displaced Palestinians stand amid the destruction left by the Israeli air and ground offensive in Gaza City Dec. 5, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana, File)
FILE - Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks to the media during a joint press conference with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz in Jerusalem Dec. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Ariel Schalit, Pool, File)
FILE - People pray as they visit at Mount Herzl military cemetery in Jerusalem, Dec. 4, 2025. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg, File)

Overview

  • Phase one is nearing completion with one deceased hostage, Police Sgt. Ran Gvili, still in Gaza, and his return could condition the move to the next stage.
  • The U.S. is considering a two-year, IRA-style decommissioning model advanced by Turkey and Qatar, which some Israeli officials privately fear could leave Hamas effectively armed.
  • Hamas says it could freeze or store weapons during a political process but rejects full disarmament before Israel ends its occupation of Palestinian territories.
  • The planned International Stabilization Force has not been formed, potential contributors are still in talks, and a U.S. official projects initial deployment in early 2026.
  • Key architecture remains unresolved as Trump is the only named member of the Board of Peace, Tony Blair has been discussed without confirmation, and reconstruction funding is unpledged despite a U.N. $70 billion estimate with an Egypt donor meeting expected this month.