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U.S. Troops Exit Iraq, Leaving Security Gaps and Militia Power Shift

Removing on‑the‑ground U.S. surveillance and air defenses risks empowering Iran‑aligned militias after Baghdad delayed the weapons‑control deadline to June 30, 2027.

Overview

  • U.S. forces completed their withdrawal from their last bases in Iraq on Sept. 30, ending a more than two‑decade military presence that began in 2003 and was renewed in 2014.
  • Kurdish commanders say the pullout cost them U.S. intelligence, aerial surveillance, drone support and air defenses that had helped protect the Erbil area from months of missile and drone strikes.
  • Baghdad postponed its deadline to bring armed factions’ weapons under state control to June 30, 2027, removing the main, on‑paper check meant to limit militia power after the U.S. exit.
  • Iraqi security forces reported uncovering a suspected Islamic State plot timed around the withdrawal, highlighting immediate counterterrorism risks as coalition boots leave the ground.
  • Analysts and local leaders warn Iran‑aligned militias portray the exit as a win and could expand influence over politics and security, while ordinary Iraqis face increased danger from reduced surveillance and slower logistics.