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US Tariffs Drive Global Manufacturing Contraction Despite India's Growth

Tariff uncertainty has slowed global factory output, worsening supply chain bottlenecks.

A double decker bus passes the skyline with its dominating banking district in Frankfurt, Germany, November 8, 2023.  REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
A worker inspects a steel coil on the factory floor before Canada's Prime Minister-designate Mark Carney visits the ArcelorMittal Dofasco steel mill in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada March 12, 2025.  REUTERS/Carlos Osorio/File Photo
A general view shows Pusan Newport Terminal in Busan, South Korea, July 1, 2021.  REUTERS/Kim Hong-Ji/File Photo
A drone view shows shipping containers and lorries at Dublin Port, in Dublin, Ireland April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Clodagh Kilcoyne/File Photo

Overview

  • China’s Caixin PMI fell to 48.3 in May, the lowest in 32 months, as new export orders and output contracted for the first time in eight months.
  • The US ISM manufacturing index dipped to 48.5 in May, marking a third straight month of contraction and lengthening supplier delivery times.
  • Eurozone manufacturing PMI rose to 49.4, a 33-month high, but production and new orders remain below the 50-point expansion threshold.
  • Canada’s factory PMI slipped to 46.1 and the UK’s to 46.4, with both regions reporting job cuts and reduced orders under tariff and tax cost pressures.
  • India’s manufacturing PMI held at 57.6, sustaining robust expansion and record job creation despite a modest slowdown in output and new orders.