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US Tariffs Drag German Exports Down as Industrial Orders Rise

Bundesbank forecasts zero growth in 2025 under persistent tariff uncertainty with recovery set for 2026

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Overview

  • German exports fell 1.7 percent in April, driven by a 10.5 percent slump in shipments to the USA after new US tariffs took effect
  • Industrial orders climbed 0.6 percent in April, marking a second straight monthly increase led by data processing, electronic and optical equipment
  • Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel attributes the stagnation forecast for 2025 to trade policy uncertainty stemming from US tariff measures
  • The central bank expects a 0.7 percent GDP rebound in 2026, underpinned by planned government spending on infrastructure and defence
  • Labour agency chief Andrea Nahles warns that US tariffs could cost up to 90,000 jobs in Germany within a year