Overview
- Government data show 76,519 student entries in July, down 28.5% year over year, with India down about 46% and China down about 26%, and declines also reported from South Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan and the Philippines.
- The State Department paused student-visa interviews in late May and resumed in mid-June with mandatory reviews of applicants’ social-media profiles, creating backlogs during the peak application period.
- U.S. universities forecast roughly 30% fewer first-time international enrollments this fall, estimating about $2.6 billion in lost tuition revenue.
- Alternative projections from NAFSA and JB International point to up to 150,000 fewer students, nearly $7 billion in economic impact and about 60,000 jobs affected.
- Arrival statistics do not separate new from returning students, heightening uncertainty as campuses report financial strain, with USC citing a $200 million deficit and ASU saying visa delays have been more disruptive than the pandemic.