Particle.news
Download on the App Store

U.S. Strike Captures Venezuela’s Maduro as Suspicious Prediction-Market Bets Draw Scrutiny

Unclear legal authority for the raid is fueling sharper questions for political betting platforms.

Overview

  • President Donald Trump announced a large-scale U.S. strike early Saturday that captured Nicolás Maduro and flew him out of Venezuela.
  • U.S. authorities issued an updated January 3 indictment in New York naming Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, on narcotics, weapons, and narco-terrorism charges.
  • A recently created Polymarket account wagered roughly $30,000 on Maduro’s ouster and redeemed about $436,000 hours after the capture.
  • Prediction markets had priced a January exit for Maduro at low odds days earlier, with roughly $56.6 million reportedly wagered across six related contracts and a late rush of bets.
  • Commentators and some U.S. figures urged tighter oversight of political betting sites, while questions remain about the strike’s legal basis and whether Congress was consulted.