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U.S. Strategy Recasts Europe as at Risk as EU Fines X, Raising Transatlantic Tensions

The new framing has analysts warning of a U.S. push to remake Europe along illiberal lines.

Overview

  • The updated National Security Strategy warns Europe faces "civilizational erasure" and says it is plausible some NATO members could become "majority non-European."
  • Political scientist Henry Farrell characterizes the document as a program to drive an illiberal turn in Europe in partnership with far-right parties.
  • The European Commission fined X about $139 million for transparency breaches, and Elon Musk responded by urging the EU's abolition and threatening retribution against officials.
  • Paul Krugman links the administration’s posture to tech billionaires’ resistance to European regulation, citing threats to keep steel tariffs high unless Brussels scales back tech rules.
  • Analysts argue the shift could undercut coordination against China and Russia, with reports of curtailed intelligence sharing even as European institutions and voters continue to defend liberal norms.