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US Stocks Hover Near Records, Futures Dip on Trade Uncertainty

Investor expectations for Fed rate cuts have shifted with September odds at about 68%.

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Overview

  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain near all-time highs, with futures indicating a lower open following renewed trade tensions.
  • White House officials have warned that tariffs will be reimposed on key trading partners on August 1 if no agreements are reached.
  • President Trump has threatened an additional 10% tariff on countries aligning with the anti-American policies of the BRICS coalition.
  • Tesla shares plunged nearly 7% after Elon Musk announced plans to form a new political party.
  • Robust June jobs data—147,000 payroll gains and a 4.1% unemployment rate—have reinforced economic optimism, prompting traders to lower September rate-cut odds to about 68%.