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U.S. Stocks Hover Near Record Highs Ahead of Fed Meeting and Tariff Threats

Investor caution has increased ahead of next week’s Fed meeting over fresh tariff threats coupled with divergent corporate earnings.

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Overview

  • June retail sales climbed 0.6% month-over-month—well above forecasts—while consumer sentiment reached a five-month high, underpinning Thursday’s record closes for the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000.
  • President Trump’s reported push for 15–20% tariffs on European Union goods has prompted a cautious tone, weighing on sectors from streaming to finance.
  • Netflix beat earnings expectations with a record $11.08 billion in Q2 revenue and raised its full-year forecast but saw its shares fall as it cautioned on lower margins in the second half.
  • Elevance Health and Humana stocks slid on a cut to earnings outlook and a Medicare bonus payment lawsuit loss, while Albemarle jumped nearly 8% after China ordered a halt to Zangge Mining’s lithium output.
  • Treasury yields dipped on dovish Fed comments and University of Michigan data showing easing inflation expectations, setting a calm trading backdrop before the bulk of Q2 earnings season.