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US Shares Near Record Highs Driven by Israel-Iran Truce

A holding ceasefire between Israel and Iran has eased crude-oil risks; the Fed is awaiting tariff impacts before shifting policy.

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Overview

  • The S&P 500 climbed 1.11% to 6,092.18, bringing it within 1% of its all-time closing high, while the Nasdaq Composite hit a record 20,037.86 after a 1.43% gain.
  • A ceasefire brokered between Israel and Iran has held despite initial violations, calming oil markets and reducing geopolitical risk premiums.
  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told Congress the central bank will keep interest rates on hold as it gauges the inflationary impact of President Trump’s tariffs.
  • Corporate results diverged as FedEx shares fell over 5% after withholding full-year guidance, Tesla’s EU registrations plunged nearly 41% in May, and BlackBerry stock rose 9% on stronger-than-expected earnings and an upgraded revenue outlook.
  • Analysts predict the Fed could cut rates later this year and expect the S&P 500 to gain another 5% to 6% if trade tensions and inflation remain contained.