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U.S. Set for Record 2025 Power Additions as Solar Provides About Half

The projection is based on developer surveys that point to a heavy second‑half build concentrated in Texas.

An aerial view shows rows of solar panels at a solar farm in Anson, Texas, U.S., April 23, 2025. REUTERS/Daniel Cole/File Photo

Overview

  • EIA forecasts 64 GW of new U.S. generating capacity in 2025, a record if developer plans are realized.
  • Utility‑scale solar is slated for 33.3 GW this year, including roughly 21 GW scheduled for the second half.
  • Battery storage additions are projected at 18.3 GW in 2025, with Texas developers expecting about 7.0 GW to come online this year.
  • Texas accounted for 27% of solar added so far in 2025 (3.2 GW) and plans another 9.7 GW before year‑end.
  • EIA previously expected 8.7 GW of fossil retirements in 2025, though about 3.6 GW have been delayed or cancelled, and Reuters notes potential loss of federal incentives under President Donald Trump adds uncertainty to future growth.