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US Secures Indonesia Deal and Nears India Pact as Inflation Rises

June’s consumer price increase above the Fed’s 2% goal underscores tariffs’ role in holding back rate cuts

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The U.S. flag is seen on a building on Wall St. in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 24, 2020. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
Finished lumber is run through the wrap-and-strap machine at West Fraser Pacific Inland Resources sawmill in Smithers, British Columbia, Canada February 4, 2020. REUTERS/Jesse Winter/File Photo
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Overview

  • The White House formalized a reciprocal 19% tariff on Indonesian imports with tariff-free access for US exports under the new interim trade deal
  • President Trump said talks with India are very close to yielding a pact that would cap duties below 20% ahead of the August 1 deadline
  • The administration plans to notify more than 150 smaller economies that uniform 10%–15% tariffs will apply if they fail to reach bilateral agreements by August 1
  • June’s consumer price index rose 2.7% year-over-year as businesses passed higher import duties onto shoppers, prompting the Fed to pause rate cuts
  • Canada announced 25% duties on steel containing Chinese-melted metal in a direct response to US trade actions