U.S. Recession Risks Grow as Tariffs and Economic Uncertainty Persist
Economists estimate recession probabilities between 36% and 50%, with mixed signals from economic indicators and a strong labor market offering a complex outlook.
- Recent surveys place the likelihood of a U.S. recession in 2025 between 36% and nearly 50%, reflecting rising concerns among economists and analysts.
- President Trump's tariff policies have contributed to economic instability, shaking consumer confidence and fueling market volatility.
- The U.S. economy is experiencing a 'slow patch,' with mixed signals from consumer spending, inflation, and unemployment data keeping recession predictions uncertain.
- Financial experts recommend preparing for potential downturns by reducing high-interest debt, building emergency savings, and diversifying investment portfolios.
- Despite recession fears, the labor market remains relatively strong, with unemployment rates low in some areas, providing a counterbalance to economic anxiety.
USA TODAY 
