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U.S. Q3 Growth Hits 4.3% After Shutdown Delay Pressuring Fed Cut Hopes

Economists describe a narrow surge powered by consumption alongside AI‑driven builds, with inflation running hotter.

Overview

  • A preliminary BEA estimate put annualized GDP growth at 4.3% for Q3, roughly 1.1% quarter over quarter and well above forecasts near 3.2%.
  • The report cited faster consumer spending, plus increases in government purchases and exports, while overall investment slipped slightly.
  • Price pressures picked up on the PCE gauge and real incomes did not rise, as the Conference Board reported further deterioration in consumer morale.
  • Markets cooled on the release, and CFRA’s Sam Stovall said the stronger print gives the Federal Reserve more reason to keep policy rates unchanged.
  • President Trump celebrated the outcome, attributed the strength to tariffs, and insisted there is no inflation.