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U.S. Q2 Growth Revised Up to 3.3% as Spending and Investment Strengthen

The revision underscores a quarter propelled by tariff-related trade swings alongside AI-focused investment.

Overview

  • The Bureau of Economic Analysis lifted its second-quarter estimate to a 3.3% annualized pace, up from 3.0%.
  • Consumer spending was revised to 1.6%, and real final sales to private domestic purchasers rose to 1.9%, signaling firmer underlying demand.
  • Imports fell 29.8% after Q1 front‑loading ahead of tariffs, with net exports adding nearly 5 percentage points to growth as exports slipped 1.3%.
  • Business investment was marked up, including the fastest advance in intellectual property products in four years and stronger equipment outlays tied in part to AI.
  • The PCE price index ran at 2.0% with core at 2.5%, investors boosted odds of a September Fed rate cut, and GDI jumped 4.8% as corporate profits rebounded; the final Q2 estimate arrives Sept. 25.