Overview
- U.S. officials have warned Iraqi parties not to choose a prime minister tied to an armed faction and cautioned against militia-aligned figures taking key security ministries, according to Iraqi officials.
- The Coordination Framework holds a parliamentary majority bolstered by factions with armed wings, including Asaib Ahl al-Haq, which won 27 seats, with more than 100 seats overall tied to groups with militias.
- Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani’s bloc leads with 46 seats but lacks a majority, and analysts say the Coordination Framework is unlikely to back him for a second term.
- Following the Dec. 14 ratification of election results, parliament faces statutory deadlines to elect a speaker, choose a president, and task a prime minister with forming a cabinet.
- Washington continues to press Baghdad to dismantle Iran-backed groups and has sanctioned Iraqi entities and banks, even as the PMF remains formally within the security apparatus yet operates with significant autonomy.