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U.S. Predicted to Drop Sharply in Global Life Expectancy Rankings by 2050

Researchers attribute the decline to rising obesity rates, drug-related deaths, and other health challenges, despite modest gains in life expectancy.

  • The U.S. is projected to fall from 49th in 2022 to 66th in global life expectancy rankings by 2050, according to a study from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).
  • Life expectancy in the U.S. is expected to rise only slightly, from 78.3 years in 2022 to 80.4 years in 2050, lagging behind gains in many other high- and middle-income countries.
  • Obesity is forecasted to reach unprecedented levels, with over 260 million Americans affected by 2050, posing a major public health crisis and slowing health improvements.
  • Drug-related deaths are expected to increase by 34% by 2050, leaving the U.S. with the highest drug-related mortality rate globally, more than double that of Canada, the second-highest country.
  • Researchers emphasize the need for comprehensive health strategies, including reducing obesity, improving drug use prevention, and expanding access to high-quality, universal healthcare.
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