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U.S. Papers Lay Bare Fears Trump’s Gaza Deal Will Stall as Partition Risk Rises

Internal briefings say Phase 2 lacks a workable roadmap.

Overview

  • Politico obtained internal documents presented at a two-day symposium led by Lt. Gen. Michael Fenzel with roughly 400 officials, military officers, NGOs and analysts.
  • The proposed International Stabilization Force exists only on paper, with many governments refusing troop deployments and Israel rejecting Turkish participation.
  • Assessments shared at the event say Hamas has rebuilt to roughly 7,000 fighters and has carried out violent reprisals after the ceasefire, raising the risk of a security vacuum.
  • European officials told Reuters Gaza could effectively split, with reconstruction concentrated in Israel-controlled zones where the IDF now holds about 53% of the territory.
  • The administration publicly defends the plan, yet officials question whether Washington will sustain the long-term engagement required, even as planners float “Alternate Safe Communities” housing about 25,000 people per site.