Overview
- An analysis of Real‑Time Crime Index data through October shows murders down about 19.8% from 2024, pointing to the steepest single‑year decline on record.
- Other offenses also fell nationwide, including motor vehicle thefts by roughly 23.2%, robberies by about 18.3%, and aggravated assaults by around 7.5%.
- Large cities report sharp declines, with Chicago nearly 28% lower, Washington, D.C. down nearly 28%, New York City and Memphis close to 20% lower, Los Angeles County near 19% down, and New Orleans off 7.5%.
- The index aggregates monthly reports from roughly 570 agencies and excludes manslaughter, self‑defense, negligence, and accidental killings; its estimates have historically tracked closely with FBI totals that will be released next year.
- The White House credits President Trump’s crackdowns and deployments for the drop, while experts caution against firm attribution and note some smaller jurisdictions saw spikes, even as mass killings fell to their lowest level since 2006.