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U.S. Mortgage Rate Averages Tick Up to 6.22% After Fed Remarks

A cautious market reaction to Jerome Powell’s comments lifted Treasury yields, nudging the weekly average higher despite recent declines.

Overview

  • Freddie Mac’s survey shows the 30-year fixed at 6.22% and the 15-year fixed at 5.50% for the week ending Nov. 6, both up slightly from the prior week.
  • Markets recalibrated after Powell signaled a December policy cut is not assured, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield higher and feeding through to mortgage pricing.
  • Daily trackers show variation, with Zillow reporting a 30-year purchase rate near 6.125% and a 30-year refinance rate around 6.87% on Nov. 6.
  • Forecasters including Fannie Mae, MBA, NAR and NAHB largely see 2026 averages in the mid‑5% to mid‑6% range, though projections remain sensitive to new data.
  • Housing indicators point to modest affordability gains and pockets of improvement, yet lock‑in effects, slower new listings and government‑shutdown data gaps temper momentum.