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U.S. Midterms on Nov. 3 Will Likely Decide Which Party Controls Congress

Exit‑poll‑based projections will shape early returns as differing state rules on mail and early ballots can push official certification into December

Overview

  • Voting takes place on Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026, with all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats on the ballot in a test of President Donald Trump’s administration.
  • Pre‑election polls suggest Democrats could win one or both chambers, challenging the narrow Republican majorities in the House (218 R, 214 D plus one independent) and Senate (53 R, 45 D, 2 independents).
  • News organizations will publish early projections overnight based on exit polls, which give quick indications but do not replace the actual vote count.
  • Final outcomes may take weeks because some states do not count mail and early ballots until Election Day, close races can trigger recounts or runoffs, and officials must certify results state by state.
  • Beyond Congress, voters will decide 36 governorships, state legislatures in 46 states, and 39 statewide ballot measures, all of which will shape policy and political control at the state level.