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US Markets Rally on Vietnam Trade Pact and June Jobs Surge

A looming July 9 tariff deadline poses a threat to markets that have rallied on a Vietnam trade pact with robust June payroll gains.

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Le marché constate que de "nombreux pays semblent devoir faire face à des droits de douane plus élevés que prévu", selon Susannah Streeter, analyste chez Hargreaves Lansdown
Des courses de Bourse affichés dans le bâtiment d'Euronext à La Défense, le quartier d'affaires de Paris, le 10 mai 2024
Un opérateur à la Bourse de New York le 23 juin 2025

Overview

  • President Trump’s new agreement with Vietnam eliminates US tariffs on American exports to the country while imposing at least 20% duties on Vietnamese goods entering the United States.
  • June’s official payroll report showed a gain of 147,000 jobs and a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.1%, driving the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to record closing highs.
  • A contrasting ADP/Stanford survey recorded 33,000 private-sector job losses in June, underscoring a split in labor data that keeps Federal Reserve policy decisions in focus.
  • The Senate narrowly approved President Trump’s budget bill, which the Congressional Budget Office estimates will add over $3 trillion to the national debt by 2034, raising fiscal concerns.
  • If no new agreements are reached by the July 9 deadline, 54 trading partners face steep reciprocal US tariffs that threaten European luxury and automotive sectors.