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U.S. Manufacturing Output Stalls in July as Tariffs Bite

Tariff-driven cost increases are extending production pauses, depressing industrial capacity utilization.

Overview

  • Federal Reserve data show manufacturing output was unchanged in July after a revised 0.3% gain in June, while overall industrial production fell 0.1% month over month and rose 1.4% year over year.
  • Economists say 50% duties on steel and aluminum and 25% tariffs on vehicles and parts are raising input costs and could prolong shutdowns.
  • Motor vehicle and parts production slipped 0.3% amid seasonal retooling, and factory output excluding autos declined 0.1%.
  • Production of electrical equipment, appliances, aerospace and furniture rose even as primary metals and machinery output weakened.
  • Capacity utilization fell to 77.5% for industry and 76.8% for manufacturing, both below their long-run averages.