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US Journal Says India’s Indus Treaty Shift Risks Regional Stability

The National Interest backs Pakistan’s objections by labeling Dul Hasti Stage‑II a direct test of treaty limits.

Overview

  • The National Interest reports that India suspended mechanisms of the Indus Waters Treaty and halted hydrological data sharing.
  • The analysis cites international legal precedents, including arbitration and ICJ findings, that do not allow unilateral suspension of the treaty.
  • Dul Hasti Stage‑II is identified as challenging the treaty’s rules governing India’s use of the western rivers allocated to Pakistan.
  • The journal describes the treaty as vital for water and food security, noting India’s legal obligation to ensure flows of the Indus, Jhelum, and Chenab to Pakistan.
  • It warns of mounting humanitarian and security risks from water weaponization and urges a return to treaty-based dialogue through established mechanisms.