Overview

• NAFSA and JB International scenario modeling forecasts a 15 percent decline in international enrollments, equal to 150,000 fewer students in fall 2025.
• Universities could face a $7 billion revenue shortfall and 60,000 job losses as international student numbers shrink.
• F-1 visa issuances fell 12 percent from January to April and plunged 22 percent in May, with June appointments potentially down 80–90 percent under enhanced vetting rules.
• Major source countries such as India are expected to see a 20–25 percent drop in student intake due to persistent appointment backlogs.
• Uncertainty over the Optional Practical Training program has prompted many prospective students to defer or cancel their US study plans.