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U.S. International Student Enrollment Faces 15% Decline as Visa Backlogs Persist

Advocates warn the projected drop poses a $7 billion hit to college revenues with 60,000 jobs at risk

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Britain, as the second most popular destination for foreign students, stands to gain the most from these decisions.

Overview

  • Scenario modeling by NAFSA and JB International forecasts a 15% drop in overall international student enrollment this fall, translating to 150,000 fewer students, $7 billion in lost revenue and 60,000 jobs at risk.
  • F-1 and J-1 visa issuances plunged 12% in the first four months of 2025 and 22% in May, with June figures projected to fall as much as 90% under new social media screening protocols.
  • Indian student arrivals for fall 2025 are expected to decline by up to 25% because of prolonged appointment freezes and uncertainty over postgraduation work options.
  • Applications to U.K. universities have risen by 2.2% for undergraduate programs and roughly 10% for graduate study as students weigh alternatives to U.S. campuses.
  • NAFSA and university leaders are urging Congress and the State Department to expedite visa appointments and exempt F-1 and J-1 applicants from travel restrictions.