Overview
- A U.S. intelligence assessment reported Sunday estimates Iran retains roughly 1,500 to 2,500 missiles while agencies warn the figure carries low confidence because many weapons may be stored or not launch-ready.
- Analysts say Tehran has been rebuilding its arsenal using components stockpiled before the war but that production remains slower than pre-conflict levels.
- The assessment notes Iran also keeps large numbers of attack drones and short-range missiles that have been used to strike U.S. bases and regional infrastructure, prompting relocation of some American assets to Israel.
- The finding undercuts earlier White House claims that the missile program was largely destroyed after Operation Epic Fury and is a central input to President Trump’s internal debate over whether to order new large-scale strikes.
- Gulf governments are pressing Washington to avoid renewed bombing campaigns because further escalation could threaten regional infrastructure and commerce while the U.S. continues to rely mainly on sanctions and a naval blockade.